Europe’s population perhaps doubled between 1000 and 1300, driven in part by the agricultural technology discussed in Chapter Two. But by the end of that time, and perhaps even before 1300, the society’s ability to produce food may have reached an upper limit for the available technology. Growing cities, for example, had become increasingly dependent on food supplies imported from greater and greater distances; their vulnerability to famine increased accord-ingly, for too many fragile links existed in the medieval transportation chains that brought food to cities. New lands pressed into cultivation in the thirteenth century were often marginal ones, whose productivity— never good—could fall quickly. Soil erosion became more and more serious…The preplague world in Europe was one in which food was scarce and hence expensive, land was in short supply and hence also expensive, and labor, being plentiful, was cheap. But the evidence (from Pistoia, for example) suggests that the overpopulated world of 1300 was already losing people before the great epidemic, so that while the plague may have exaggerated changes, it did not initiate them.
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